2023 / policy brief

Moldova at a Crossroads: Using the SCORE to Understand the Future Visions of Moldovan Citizens

Looking beyond a binary geopolitical divide to understand different combinations of citizens' future preferences.

Related project: Moldova SCORE 2023

The story

When a countryโ€™s future is discussed as a choice between opposing blocs, citizens with mixed or less categorical preferences can disappear from view. This brief uses the 2022 SCORE survey to investigate those combinations during a period of regional upheaval.

A finding to take away

The analysis identifies four profiles of geopolitical preferences, rather than reducing the public to two opposing camps. That is a starting point for understanding differences and finding room for less divisive conversations, not a forecast of political behaviour.

The right-bank survey covered 2,336 respondents, including a nationally representative sample of 1,991 adults and targeted additional samples. I led underlying study design with colleagues whom I supervised and co-authored this brief. The separately commissioned Transnistria report is not part of its findings or sample.

Survey scope and authorship are described on PDF page 2. The brief was published in March 2023.

Tags

  • Governance
  • Social cohesion
  • Inclusion
  • Survey research
  • Statistical analysis
  • SCORE
  • Geopolitical outlooks
  • Future visions